IBIT

IBIT

iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF

ETF / Index

Discounted

Price today

$45.23

All-time high

$71.82

-37.0% from high · cheap vs its own history

charlieapp.co

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Index ETFs don't have their own calculated Value. They hold hundreds of companies — we work out whether the group is expensive or cheap versus its history.

From high

-37%

all-time high

Cycle low

$23.80

historic floor

Premium

+90%

above the low

Current cycle zone

Undervalued
Discounted
Fair price
Overvalued
Well below the highBelow the highMiddle zoneNear the high
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You are 37% below the all-time high, and 90% above the low of the cycle. The signal comes from where you sit in that range.

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The floor of the cycle is at $23.80; the ceiling, at $71.82. The closer to the floor, the better the spot to build in slowly.

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It has no intrinsic value from fundamentals — the range comes from price highs and lows. The final call is yours; buying gradually (DCA) means a little at a time.

The business

A way to get exposure to bitcoin without holding the digital keys yourself.

IBIT is an exchange-traded fund that tracks the price of bitcoin by holding the cryptocurrency directly in custody. Instead of buying bitcoin yourself in a digital wallet, you buy a share of the fund that follows its price, and you do it from a traditional brokerage account.

Its structural advantage is giving you simple, regulated access to bitcoin without having to deal with wallets, private keys, or crypto platforms; it also offers stock-market liquidity and professional custody of the asset.

Catalysts and risks

Greater institutional adoption channeling money flows into regulated vehicles like this fund.

Bitcoin's historical cycles, marked by supply-reduction events at regular intervals.

Growing interest from investors looking to diversify away from traditional assets.

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Total concentration in a single, extremely volatile asset: if bitcoin drops hard, the fund drops just as much.

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It charges an annual management fee that reduces your return over time.

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Strong cyclicality: bitcoin has had very sharp rises and falls, with no intrinsic value to serve as a reference.

Charlie's note

Bitcoin generates no cash flows or dividends, so discipline matters more here than guessing the timing: decide how much you're willing to lose before you get in and keep an eye on the annual fee.

Analysis · June 2026

Want to follow iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF?

We do not calculate a value here: iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF does not generate cash flows you can project, and putting a number on it would be making it up. What you can do is follow it and tell us the price you care about — we will email you when it gets there.

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Free · no card

Charlie informs, it doesn't advise. No information should be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell.