AXP

AXP

American Express

Platform / Network

★ Quality 99/100
Discounted

Price today

$326.16

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A closed-loop payments network

American Express controls both the card-issuing and the merchant side of its 170-year-old network. A moat Visa or Mastercard cannot easily replicate.

What this business is made of

99qualityReturnsMoatBalance sheetPricing power *Reinvestment
* This axis is an estimate: we don't have the figure that measures it for this company.

The business

They charge the toll and lend the car: the only one that does both.

American Express issues cards and runs its own payments network at the same time, a rare combo in the sector. It makes money three ways: fees it charges merchants on every purchase, annual fees on its premium cards, and interest on the balances it finances.

Closed-loop network with 170 years of history: they see every transaction end to end, data nobody else has. Their high-income clientele spends more and pays three-digit fees without blinking. Replicating that brand and that spending base takes decades, not money.

Revenue history

$42.4B
2021
$52.9B
2022
$60.5B
2023
$65.9B
2024
$72.0B
2025
CAGR 5 años: +14%

From $42.4B to $72.0B in 4 years. The business grows steadily.

Where each $100 of sales goes

Revenue $41.3B · FY2025

Costs and operations$30.5B · 74%
Net profit$10.8B · 26%

Of every $100 in sales, $74 goes to costs and operations; $26 is left as net profit (26% margin).

Catalysts and risks

Card fees grew 18% to $10B; high-income young people keep signing up.

Revenue at $72B with +10% annual growth, driven by resilient premium-customer spending.

FCF of $16B funds buybacks and growing dividends without diluting.

⚠️

Debt of $56B and thin cash: a business that lives on credit suffers in a deep recession.

⚠️

Depends on discretionary spending; if the premium customer pulls back, fee revenue drops.

⚠️

Regulators are watching merchant fees in several countries.

Charlie's note

Paying 25x for a business that compounds at 13% with a 170-year moat isn't a gift, but it isn't crazy either. Quality rarely comes at a discount.

Analysis · June 2026

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