PWR
Quanta Services
Hybrid Industrial
★ Quality 21/100Price today
$678.84
what the market pays
Worth
$107.88
calculated cycle value
Price is 529% above its value
charlieapp.co
Price vs Intrinsic Value
The line is the price month by month; the green band marks when it's undervalued (−20% off value). When the price drops in there, the discount is real, not opinion.
Where does the value come from?
Manufacturing + technology
$139.55
per share
How it's calculated
Net cash in the bank
cash minus financial debt, per share
Total calculated value
business + cash
How many times the cash flow
Hybrid Industrial · vs 35 peers
You pay 59.1x times this business's cash flow; its sector median is 35.5x.
80% above what Charlie thinks it's worth (11.6x) — you're overpaying, sector or no sector.
Why does Charlie give it 11.6x?
The multiple is how many times its cash flow the business is worth.
An average business of its kind is worth 35.5x. This one drops from there:
Grows 22% a year. next year's cash flow will be larger than today's.
That's why it's worth 11.6x, less than the 35.5x average.
Why Overvalued?
Its free cash flow is $12.02/share × 11.6x multiplier minus $31.67 in negative net cash = $107.88 in intrinsic value. Today's price of $678.84 is 84% above the calculated value — the market is paying a premium over what the model sees as fair.
The price is 529% above the calculated value. You're paying more than it's worth.
Buying here lowers your expected return and wipes out the safety margin.
The next reasonable entry zone starts at $102.49.
At what price would buying make sense?
Entry zones
🟢 Undervalued
≤$86.30
-20% off Value
🟡 Discounted
≤$102.49
-5% off Value
🔴 Today
$678.84
-84% Valor
Overvalued
The market prices it too high versus what the business makes. Patience pays off here.
“Time is the friend of the wonderful company, the enemy of the mediocre.”
— Warren Buffett
Model updated · July 2026
The business
Quanta pone los cables y las torres que encienden Norteamérica.
Quanta construye y mantiene la infraestructura eléctrica, de gasoductos y renovables: tiende líneas, moderniza la red y conecta parques solares y eólicos. Cobra por proyecto y por contratos de mantenimiento recurrente. En 2025 facturó $28.5B, casi todo con margen bruto del 15% — un negocio de volumen, no de lujo.
Su ventaja es el ejército de electricistas y linieros entrenados: la mayor fuerza laboral especializada del sector en Norteamérica. Eso no se copia con capital, se copia con años formando gente que escasea. Aun así, no es un foso infranqueable — hay rivales capaces y el cliente compara precios.
Revenue history
From $13.0B to $28.5B in 4 years — nearly 2.2x its size. Selling more and more is the base of everything else.
Where each $100 of sales goes
Revenue $28.5B · FY2025
Of every $100 in sales, $96 goes to costs and operations; $4 is left as net profit (4% margin).
Catalysts and risks
Ola de inversión en la red por demanda de centros de datos e IA (2025-2030).
Subsidios de la Ley de Reducción de la Inflación (IRA) para renovables.
Cartera de pedidos récord respaldando ingresos futuros.
Margen bruto del 15%: poco colchón ante sobrecostos o retrasos.
Deuda de $5.2B contra apenas $0.4B en caja.
Depende del gasto de capital de las eléctricas, que puede frenarse en recesión.
Charlie's note
“A 11.6x el flujo normalizado y creciendo al 22%, el negocio no pide disculpas. El problema es lo que el mercado le suma encima: paga años de crecimiento por adelantado en una empresa con márgenes del 15% y sin foso real. La ejecución tiene que ser perfecta, y perfecta rara vez es barata.”
Analysis · July 2026
So when would be a good price for Quanta Services?
By our calculation, not yet. We will email you the day it drops to $102.49 — so you do not have to keep checking.
🔔 Email meFree · no card
Charlie informs, it doesn't advise. No information should be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell.