CRWD

CRWD

CrowdStrike

Recurring SaaS

★ Quality 54/100
Fair price

Price today

$213.10

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charlieapp.co

What this business is made of

54qualityReturnsMoatBalance sheetPricing powerReinvestment

The business

A single sensor that watches every computer in the company, and charges a subscription for it.

CrowdStrike protects computers and servers against cyberattacks with its Falcon platform, a single lightweight software you install once and manage from the cloud. It charges an annual subscription per module; annual recurring revenue already tops 5 billion, growing 24%.

A single agent powers dozens of modules: the more customers it has, the more attacks it sees, and the better it protects everyone. Switching security providers is scary and a lot of work, so 97% of customers stay. Not yet an unavoidable toll, but getting close.

Revenue history

$1.5B
2022
$2.2B
2023
$3.1B
2024
$4.0B
2025
$4.8B
2026
CAGR 5 años: +34%

From $1.5B to $4.8B in 4 years — nearly 3.2x its size. Selling more and more is the base of everything else.

Catalysts and risks

ARR (annual recurring revenue) of $5.25 billion growing 24%.

Customers adopting more modules: each one raises spending with no new sales cost.

FCF of $1.3 billion with a 75% gross margin.

⚠️

The July 2024 global outage showed that a self-inflicted bug can ground planes and banks.

⚠️

Microsoft gives away built-in security and pressures prices from above.

⚠️

Reports a net loss; accounting profitability still depends on curbing stock-based spending.

Charlie's note

Top-tier business: grows 22%, retains nearly everything, and generates real cash. But paying close to 80 times free cash flow for something I value at 29 times is inviting bad luck. Excellent company, impatient price.

Analysis · July 2026

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Charlie informs, it doesn't advise. No information should be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell.