GEV
GE Vernova
Hybrid Industrial
★ Quality 31/100Price today
$989.30
what the market pays
Worth
$163.47
calculated cycle value
Price is 505% above its value
charlieapp.co
Price vs Intrinsic Value
The line is the price month by month; the green band marks when it's undervalued (−20% off value). When the price drops in there, the discount is real, not opinion.
Where does the value come from?
Manufacturing + technology
$163.47
per share
How it's calculated
Total calculated value
business + cash
How many times the cash flow
Hybrid Industrial · vs 35 peers
You pay 62.5x times this business's cash flow; its sector median is 35.5x.
84% above what Charlie thinks it's worth (10.3x) — you're overpaying, sector or no sector.
Why Overvalued?
Its free cash flow is $15.84/share × 10.3x multiplier = $163.47 in intrinsic value. Today's price of $989.30 is 83% above the calculated value — the market is paying a premium over what the model sees as fair.
The price is 505% above the calculated value. You're paying more than it's worth.
Buying here lowers your expected return and wipes out the safety margin.
The next reasonable entry zone starts at $155.30.
At what price would buying make sense?
Entry zones
🟢 Undervalued
≤$130.78
-20% off Value
🟡 Discounted
≤$155.30
-5% off Value
🔴 Today
$989.30
-84% Valor
Overvalued
The market prices it too high versus what the business makes. Patience pays off here.
“Time is the friend of the wonderful company, the enemy of the mediocre.”
— Warren Buffett
Model updated · July 2026
The business
El pico y la pala del boom eléctrico: turbinas de gas para alimentar la IA.
GE Vernova fabrica turbinas de gas y eólicas, y equipos para modernizar la red eléctrica. Cobra dos veces: vende la máquina y luego décadas de contratos de servicio y repuestos sobre su base instalada, que ya mueve cerca de una cuarta parte de la electricidad del mundo. Ingresos de $38.1B y FCF de $3.7B en 2025.
La ventaja está en la base instalada de turbinas: una vez que compras la máquina, quedas atado a su servicio por 20 años. El negocio de gas pesado es un club de tres (GE, Siemens, Mitsubishi), difícil de entrar. Pero el margen bruto de 20% delata que no es un foso profundo — la eólica todavía sangra.
Revenue history
From $29.7B to $41.5B in 4 years. The business grows steadily.
Where each $100 of sales goes
Revenue $38.1B · FY2025
Of every $100 in sales, $87 goes to costs and operations; $13 is left as net profit (13% margin).
Catalysts and risks
Demanda eléctrica de los centros de datos de IA disparando pedidos de turbinas de gas; cartera de pedidos récord cerca de $120B.
El segmento eólico saliendo de pérdidas hacia terreno rentable.
Ola global de inversión en modernización de redes eléctricas (electrificación).
Margen bruto de 20%: colchón delgado para un negocio de equipos complejos.
El negocio eólico sigue perdiendo dinero y arrastra los resultados.
Bienes de capital cíclicos: si se enfría la inversión energética, los pedidos caen.
Charlie's note
“El mercado paga por el sueño eléctrico de la IA, no por los números de hoy. Con margen de 20%, crecimiento de 9% y sin foso profundo, a más de 10x el flujo hay que creer mucho en que las turbinas cumplan lo prometido.”
Analysis · July 2026
So when would be a good price for GE Vernova?
By our calculation, not yet. We will email you the day it drops to $155.30 — so you do not have to keep checking.
🔔 Email meFree · no card
Charlie informs, it doesn't advise. No information should be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell.