GLW

GLW

Corning Inc.

Hybrid Industrial

★ Quality 22/100
Overvalued

Price today

$140.51

what the market pays

Worth

$7.72

calculated cycle value

Worth $7.72price today $140.51

Price is 1720% above its value

charlieapp.co

Price vs Intrinsic Value

VI$5.43$67.9$130$193$255'21'22'23'24'25'26GLWVI $7.72 · MdS -95%
UndervaluedDiscountedFair priceIV = current model value

The line is the price month by month; the green band marks when it's undervalued (−20% off value). When the price drops in there, the discount is real, not opinion.

Where does the value come from?

🏭

Manufacturing + technology

$14.73

per share

How it's calculated

💰

Free cash flow per share

normalized free cash flow

$1.67
×
📐

Multiplier

years of discounted cash flows

8.8x
=
🏢

Business value

without cash

$14.73
🏦

Net cash in the bank

cash minus financial debt, per share

$7.01

Total calculated value

business + cash

$7.72

How many times the cash flow

Hybrid Industrial · vs 35 peers

You pay today
88.1x
Sector median
35.5x
Charlie: worth
8.8x

You pay 88.1x times this business's cash flow; its sector median is 35.5x.

90% above what Charlie thinks it's worth (8.8x) — you're overpaying, sector or no sector.

Why does Charlie give it 8.8x?

The multiple is how many times its cash flow the business is worth.

An average business of its kind is worth 35.5x. This one drops from there:

↓ down

High debt. debt payments drain cash before it reaches you.

↑ up

Compounds dividends. it pays and sustains a dividend that grows over the years.

That's why it's worth 8.8x, less than the 35.5x average.

Why Overvalued?

Its free cash flow is $1.67/share × 8.8x multiplier minus $7.01 in negative net cash = $7.72 in intrinsic value. Today's price of $140.51 is 94% above the calculated value — the market is paying a premium over what the model sees as fair.

⚠️

The price is 1720% above the calculated value. You're paying more than it's worth.

⚠️

Buying here lowers your expected return and wipes out the safety margin.

💡

The next reasonable entry zone starts at $7.33.

At what price would buying make sense?

Entry zones

🟢 Undervalued

$6.18

-20% off Value

🟡 Discounted

$7.33

-5% off Value

🔴 Today

$140.51

-95% Valor

🔴

Overvalued

The market prices it too high versus what the business makes. Patience pays off here.

Time is the friend of the wonderful company, the enemy of the mediocre.

— Warren Buffett

Model updated · July 2026

The business

Corning es la receta de vidrio detrás de tu pantalla, tu fibra y tu teléfono.

Corning fabrica vidrios y cerámicas especiales: la fibra óptica que conecta centros de datos, el vidrio de las pantallas de TV, el Gorilla Glass de los celulares y filtros para autos. Cobra vendiendo componentes de altísima precisión que casi nadie más sabe hacer. Facturó $15.6B en 2025 con 36% de margen bruto.

170 años de química del vidrio y fórmulas propietarias que no aparecen en ningún manual. Su proceso de fusión y el Gorilla Glass son difíciles de copiar, pero opera en mercados donde el precio del vidrio de pantallas cae año tras año. Ventaja real, no impenetrable.

Revenue history

$14.1B
2021
$14.2B
2022
$12.6B
2023
$13.1B
2024
$15.6B
2025
CAGR 5 años: +3%

From $14.1B to $15.6B in 4 years. The business grows steadily.

Where each $100 of sales goes

Revenue $15.6B · FY2025

Cost of sales$10.0B · 64%
Operations$3.3B · 21%
Taxes and other$683M · 4%
Net profit$1.6B · 10%

Of every $100 in sales, $90 goes to costs and operations; $10 is left as net profit (10% margin).

Catalysts and risks

Plan 'Springboard': meta de sumar más de $4B en ventas anuales para 2026, empujado por fibra óptica para inteligencia artificial.

Demanda de fibra por centros de datos de IA acelerando desde 2024.

Expansión en vidrio para paneles solares fabricados en Estados Unidos.

⚠️

Deuda de $7.6B contra solo $1.5B en caja: poco margen si el ciclo se enfría.

⚠️

El precio del vidrio para pantallas baja de forma estructural, comprimiendo márgenes.

⚠️

Fuerte dependencia del ciclo de celulares y televisores, más exposición a China.

Charlie's note

A 8.8x el flujo con un crecimiento de apenas 3%, el mercado paga por un optimismo que este negocio todavía no se ganó. Buena química, precio exigente.

Analysis · July 2026

So when would be a good price for Corning Inc.?

By our calculation, not yet. We will email you the day it drops to $7.33 — so you do not have to keep checking.

🔔 Email me

Free · no card

Charlie informs, it doesn't advise. No information should be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell.