GOOG

GOOG

Alphabet

Platform / Network

★ Quality 68/100
Overvalued

Price today

$335.31

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See what it is worth

charlieapp.co

What this business is made of

68qualityReturnsMoatBalance sheetPricing powerReinvestment

The business

The world asks, Google answers — and charges the advertiser next door.

Alphabet earns nearly three-quarters of its revenue selling ads on Search and YouTube, auctioning each slot to the highest bidder per click or impression. The rest comes from Google Cloud, Android, and the Play store. In 2025 it booked $402.8B with 60% gross margin and $132.2B in net income.

Search handles more than 90% of the world's queries: the more users, the better the results, and better results bring more users. Its distribution through Chrome and Android makes it the default on nearly every screen. The advantage is real, but not untouchable: generative AI could change how people search.

Revenue history

$257.6B
2021
$282.8B
2022
$307.4B
2023
$350.0B
2024
$402.8B
2025
CAGR 5 años: +12%

From $257.6B to $402.8B in 4 years. The business grows steadily.

Where each $100 of sales goes

Revenue $402.8B · FY2025

Cost of sales$162.5B · 40%
Operations and taxes$108.1B · 27%
Net profit$132.2B · 33%

Of every $100 in sales, $67 goes to costs and operations; $33 is left as net profit (33% margin).

Catalysts and risks

Google Cloud grows ~30% annually and now runs at a sustained profit.

The $91B in AI capex in 2025 normalizes cash flow if it earns a return.

Gemini integrated into Search and Workspace opens new monetization.

⚠️

The $91B in AI capex depresses free cash flow today.

⚠️

ChatGPT and conversational search threaten the heart of the ad business.

⚠️

The DOJ antitrust case could force distribution changes or asset sales.

Charlie's note

Paying 21 times cash flow for a business growing 15% with 60% margins is a sensible deal, not a reckless one. The AI capex spooks the market today, but a machine that prints money while it invests doesn't ask for pity; the real danger is AI pulling the chair out from under search.

Analysis · July 2026

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