GS
Goldman Sachs
Investment Bank
★ Quality 41/100Price today
$1,102
what the market pays
Worth
$657.13
calculated TBV value
Price is 68% above its value
charlieapp.co
Price vs Intrinsic Value
The line is the price month by month; the green band marks when it's undervalued (−20% off value). When the price drops in there, the discount is real, not opinion.
Why Overvalued?
The model estimates an intrinsic value of $657.13 per share. Today's price of $1,101.96 is 40% above the calculated value — the market is paying a premium over what the model sees as fair.
The price is 68% above the calculated value. You're paying more than it's worth.
Buying here lowers your expected return and wipes out the safety margin.
The next reasonable entry zone starts at $624.27.
At what price would buying make sense?
Entry zones
🟢 Undervalued
≤$525.70
-20% off Value
🟡 Discounted
≤$624.27
-5% off Value
🔴 Today
$1,101.96
-40% Valor
Overvalued
The market prices it too high versus what the business makes. Patience pays off here.
“Time is the friend of the wonderful company, the enemy of the mediocre.”
— Warren Buffett
Model updated · July 2026
The business
Goldman gets paid to marry and divorce the world's biggest companies.
Goldman Sachs advises on mergers, places stocks and bonds, and runs markets for large companies, governments, and funds. Around 65% of its revenue comes from advisory and placement fees. In 2025 it billed $58.3B and earned $17.2B net.
Its edge is a century of reputation and a contacts book: when a CEO sells their company, they want the name that carries credibility with the board. That brand attracts the best talent, which in turn attracts the best clients. It's no monopoly — Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan fight for every mandate.
Revenue history
From $59.3B to $58.3B in 4 years. Sales aren't taking off — the engine is stuck.
Where each $100 of sales goes
Revenue $58.3B · FY2025
Of every $100 in sales, $70 goes to costs and operations; $30 is left as net profit (30% margin).
Catalysts and risks
Recovery of the M&A and IPO cycle expected for 2025-2026.
Rate cuts that reactivate debt and equity issuance.
Aggressive share buybacks on a 15% ROE.
Cyclical revenue tied to markets: trading and advisory fees rise and fall with the world's mood.
Trades at 2.5x book value, well above its historical average of 1.15x.
Regulatory capital requirements and litigation that erode profitability.
Charlie's note
“A cyclical bank trading at 2.5x book when its history says 1.15x. A 15% ROE is good, not miraculous, and doesn't justify paying more than double the usual. The market confuses a sweet year with a permanent moat — I'd rather get to the party before everyone else.”
Analysis · July 2026
So when would be a good price for Goldman Sachs?
By our calculation, not yet. We will email you the day it drops to $624.27 — so you do not have to keep checking.
🔔 Email meFree · no card
Charlie informs, it doesn't advise. No information should be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell.