GWW

GWW

W. W. Grainger

Hybrid Industrial

★ Quality 63/100
Overvalued

Price today

$1,324

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charlieapp.co

What this business is made of

63qualityReturnsMoatBalance sheetPricing powerReinvestment

The business

Grainger is the spare-parts ambulance: your factory stops, they show up today.

Grainger distributes MRO products —maintenance, repair, and operations— to more than 4.5 million industrial customers in the U.S. It charges for selling screws, safety equipment, motors, and a million SKUs when something breaks and you need the part today. Revenue of $17.9B in 2025, gross margins of 39%.

It's not product, it's logistics and availability. When a factory stops over a $20 part, the customer pays to have it in hours, not for the price. That distribution network, inventory data, and decades-long relationships with industrial buyers are expensive to replicate, though Amazon Business is breathing down its neck.

Revenue history

$15.2B
2022
$16.5B
2023
$17.2B
2024
$17.9B
2025
$19.3B
2026
CAGR 5 años: +6%

From $15.2B to $19.3B in 4 years. The business grows steadily.

Where each $100 of sales goes

Revenue $17.9B · FY2025

Cost of sales$10.9B · 61%
Operations$4.5B · 25%
Taxes and other$789M · 4%
Net profit$1.7B · 10%

Of every $100 in sales, $90 goes to costs and operations; $10 is left as net profit (10% margin).

Catalysts and risks

Endless assortment segment (Zoro/MonotaRO) growing double digits, scaling toward structural profitability.

Operating margin expansion via pricing and productivity, aiming to sustain ~15% operating margin in 2026.

Aggressive buybacks: Grainger has consistently reduced its share count, amplifying FCFps.

⚠️

Amazon Business and digital distributors pressure price and transparency in a business where the moat is defensible, not impregnable.

⚠️

Demand tied to the industrial cycle: a U.S. manufacturing recession hits direct volume.

⚠️

FCF of $1.3B against Net Income of $1.7B —cash conversion deserves watching, it's not a pure cash machine.

Charlie's note

Quality business —logistics hard to replicate, margins of 39%—, but at 18.81x with 8% growth you pay for the certainty, not for the discount. Patience decides whether the multiple deserves the moat.

Analysis · June 2026

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Charlie informs, it doesn't advise. No information should be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell.