HOOD

HOOD

Robinhood Markets

Cyclical Exchange

★ Quality 56/100
Overvalued

Price today

$122.11

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What this business is made of

56qualityReturnsMoatBalance sheetPricing powerReinvestment

The business

Robinhood: the app that hooked a generation on investing.

Robinhood is a retail broker that monetizes via payment for order flow, interest on balances, and crypto. Today it's a financial SuperApp with $324B in customer assets, growing 70% year-over-year, adding cards, retirement, and staking.

Generational brand among millennials and Gen Z, with rock-bottom acquisition cost and an app that's still the most polished in retail. The moat is habit and UX, not structural cost — replicable in theory, hard in practice.

Revenue history

$1.8B
2021
$1.4B
2022
$1.9B
2023
$3.0B
2024
$4.2B
2025
CAGR 5 años: +19%

From $1.8B to $4.2B in 4 years — nearly 2.3x its size. Selling more and more is the base of everything else.

Where each $100 of sales goes

Revenue $4.5B · FY2025

Costs and operations$2.6B · 58%
Net profit$1.9B · 42%

Of every $100 in sales, $58 goes to costs and operations; $42 is left as net profit (42% margin).

Catalysts and risks

Platform assets $324B (+70% YoY) drive interest income and net deposits.

Bitstamp acquisition and expansion into Europe open a new institutional crypto TAM.

Robinhood Gold tops 3M subscribers, recurring revenue that dilutes cyclicality.

⚠️

~15% of revenue comes from crypto: a drop in volumes hits P&L directly.

⚠️

P/E 34x prices in perfect execution; a normalization of retail trading compresses the multiple.

⚠️

PFOF regulation is still alive in the US and could force a redesign of the core economics.

Charlie's note

You pay a demanding multiple for a business growing 70% and capturing the habit of an entire generation, but the moat is habit and design, not structure; the patience here is about waiting for the market to doubt a growth story that's still intact.

Analysis · May 2026

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