JNJ

JNJ

Johnson & Johnson

Dividend / Cash flow

★ Quality 70/100
Overvalued

Price today

$275.23

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See what it is worth

charlieapp.co

What this business is made of

70qualityReturnsMoatBalance sheetPricing powerReinvestment

The business

Scalpels, surgical robots, and patented molecules: it charges to operate on you and to cure you.

After spinning off Kenvue (consumer brands), J&J became a pure drug and medical-technology business. It sells patented medicines and operating-room equipment to hospitals and health systems across half the world. It booked $94.2B with a 68% gross margin and turned $19.7B into free cash flow.

The moat comes from patents with 20 years of exclusivity and from clinical trust: a surgeon doesn't switch instruments on a whim. It reinvests close to 20% of pharma sales into research, which feeds the next product cycle. It's not a monopoly; it's scale, brand, and switching costs.

Revenue history

$94.9B
2022
$85.2B
2023
$88.8B
2024
$94.2B
2025
$98.0B
2026
CAGR 5 años: +1%

From $94.9B to $98.0B in 4 years. Sales aren't taking off — the engine is stuck.

Where each $100 of sales goes

Revenue $94.2B · FY2025

Cost of sales$30.3B · 32%
Operations$31.4B · 33%
Taxes and other$5.8B · 6%
Net profit$26.8B · 29%

Of every $100 in sales, $71 goes to costs and operations; $29 is left as net profit (29% margin).

Catalysts and risks

OTTAVA, its surgical robot, entering to compete against Intuitive's da Vinci.

RYBREVANT gaining ground in lung cancer as a pharma growth engine.

62 straight years raising the dividend, backed by $19.7B in free cash flow.

⚠️

Talc litigation: thousands of lawsuits still without a final number.

⚠️

Stelara patent expiration: biosimilars are already eroding that revenue.

⚠️

Modest real growth after the Kenvue exit; the pipeline has to deliver.

Charlie's note

Paying 22 times cash flow for a business growing 7% with 68% margins and 62 years of paying dividends is a sensible person's price. Rushing doesn't pay here: the quality is already priced in, so waiting for a better entry point is the boring, correct play.

Analysis · July 2026

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