MELI

MELI

MercadoLibre

Hybrid Fintech

★ Quality 68/100
Overvalued

Price today

$1,978

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See what it is worth

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Where does the value come from?

This business isn't one thing: its value is built by adding up parts, and each is valued differently.

Marketplace$1,582.00

the marketplace: a network of buyers and sellers that feeds on itself.

Crédito$369.00

the loan book: capital that earns according to its quality and ROE.

What this business is made of

68qualityReturnsMoatBalance sheetPricing powerReinvestment

The business

LatAm's bazaar with its own bank built in.

Dominant marketplace in LatAm with a fintech engine on top: Mercado Pago processes payments, lends, and holds deposits. GMV $60.2B and TPV $59.8B over the trailing twelve months. It earns a marketplace take rate, credit spread, and payment fees.

A network of buyers, sellers, and proprietary logistics that no regional competitor has replicated in 25 years. Amazon tried in Mexico and Brazil without moving the needle. The cross-sell between marketplace and fintech creates real switching costs for the small-business seller.

Revenue history

$4.0B
2020
$7.1B
2021
$10.5B
2022
$14.5B
2023
$20.8B
2024
CAGR 5 años: +39%

From $4.0B to $20.8B in 4 years — nearly 5.2x its size. Selling more and more is the base of everything else.

Where each $100 of sales goes

Revenue $28.9B · FY2025

Cost of sales$16.0B · 56%
Operations$9.7B · 33%
Taxes and other$1.2B · 4%
Net profit$2.0B · 7%

Of every $100 in sales, $93 goes to costs and operations; $7 is left as net profit (7% margin).

Catalysts and risks

TPV growing +38% YoY — fintech already outweighs many regional banks.

Mercado Crédito: loan book expanding, though with NPL >90d at 17.6%.

Advertising scaling on top of $60B GMV with margins near 100%.

⚠️

NIMAL falling from 31% to 21% — credit is tightening.

⚠️

NPL >90 days at 17.6%: high delinquency, demands heavy provisions.

⚠️

FX exposure to the Argentine peso and Brazilian real hits USD reporting.

Charlie's note

You pay a demanding multiple for a moat no one has crossed in 25 years: a dominant marketplace with fintech on top and real switching costs for the small-business seller. The quality justifies the price; growth and the credit spread do the rest if you have patience.

Analysis · May 2026

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Charlie informs, it doesn't advise. No information should be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell.