MSI

MSI

Motorola Solutions

Hybrid Industrial

★ Quality 81/100
Overvalued

Price today

$468.05

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charlieapp.co

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A monopoly position

This company has a competitive advantage so strong that its rivals find it practically impossible to replicate.

What this business is made of

81qualityReturnsMoatBalance sheetPricing powerReinvestment

The business

The nervous system of 911: nobody prays with cheap radios.

Motorola Solutions sells mission-critical radio networks, video surveillance, and dispatch software to police, firefighters, and governments. It charges for hardware once and then recurring software and services — nearly half of its $11.7B already comes from subscriptions and multi-year contracts.

When a city builds its emergency network on Motorola, it doesn't swap it out for decades: the cost of failure is a human life, not a quarter. That regulatory and operational dependence, plus standards like P25, builds a wall that no cheap-hardware competitor crosses.

Revenue history

$8.2B
2021
$9.1B
2022
$10.0B
2023
$10.8B
2024
$11.7B
2025
CAGR 5 años: +9%

From $8.2B to $11.7B in 4 years. The business grows steadily.

Where each $100 of sales goes

Revenue $11.7B · FY2025

Cost of sales$5.6B · 48%
Operations$3.0B · 26%
Taxes and other$834M · 7%
Net profit$2.2B · 18%

Of every $100 in sales, $82 goes to costs and operations; $18 is left as net profit (18% margin).

Catalysts and risks

Software and Services segment growing double digits toward >50% of revenue, lifting margins and FCF (2026).

Record backlog near $14B that gives revenue visibility for several years.

Acquisitions in video and AI (after Silvus, $4.4B in 2024) expanding the ticket per customer.

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Debt of $8.4B against $1.2B in cash — leveraged to fund M&A.

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Depends on public budgets; a cut to federal or municipal spending stalls orders.

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Demanding valuation: at 22x FCF, the market already pays for perfect execution.

Charlie's note

A boring business selling something the customer can't turn off — I like it. The price assumes they'll keep executing without a stumble, and that's on you to pay, not them.

Analysis · June 2026

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