NEE
NextEra Energy
Dividend / Cash flow
★ Quality 24/100Price today
$83.43
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What this business is made of
The business
Owner of Florida's power outlet and the world's wind factory.
NextEra runs Florida Power & Light, the largest regulated utility in the U.S., and NextEra Energy Resources, the world's biggest renewable generator. It charges regulated rates to 12 million Floridians and sells wind and solar power under long-term contracts (PPAs).
FPL has a regulated monopoly in Florida — nobody competes with the power grid of an entire state. In renewables, scale matters: NextEra develops projects at costs few can match, with 74 GW operational and a 28 GW signed backlog.
Revenue history
From $17.1B to $25.8B in 4 years. The business grows steadily.
Where each $100 of sales goes
Revenue $25.8B · FY2025
Of every $100 in sales, $73 goes to costs and operations; $27 is left as net profit (27% margin).
Catalysts and risks
Renewable backlog of 28 GW committed through 2027, revenue visibility into the next decade.
Florida grows by 1,000 residents a day — FPL's rate base rises without NextEra lifting a finger.
EPS guidance of $3.45-$3.70 in 2025 and 10% annual dividend growth through 2026.
Debt of $89.6B against $2.8B in cash — high rates hurt in a capital-intensive business.
FCF structurally squeezed by renewable capex of $30B+ per year; the dividend depends on continuing to issue debt.
Regulatory risk in Florida: the next rate review (2025) could cut the allowed ROE.
Charlie's note
“Good business, uncomfortable price. You pay a growth multiple for a utility leveraged up to its eyeballs — the day the market remembers renewables consume capital before generating it, there'll be a better opportunity.”
Analysis · May 2026
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