SWKS
Skyworks Solutions
Semiconductors
★ Quality 14/100Price today
$60.95
what the market pays
Worth
$73.26
calculated cycle value
Price is 17% below its value
charlieapp.co
Price vs Intrinsic Value
The line is the price month by month; the green band marks when it's undervalued (−20% off value). When the price drops in there, the discount is real, not opinion.
How many times the cash flow
Semiconductors · vs 20 peers
You pay 7.9x times this business's cash flow; its sector median is 59x.
23% below what Charlie thinks it's worth (9.7x) — that gap is your safety margin.
Why does Charlie give it 9.7x?
The multiple is how many times its cash flow the business is worth.
An average business of its kind is worth 59x. This one drops from there:
Shrinks 5% a year. cash flow is contracting; the engine is losing steam.
External cyclicality. it depends on a cycle (rates, recession) it doesn't control.
That's why it's worth 9.7x, less than the 59x average.
Why Discounted?
The model estimates an intrinsic value of $73.26 per share. Today's price of $60.95 is 20% below value — a moderate discount, a good spot to enter gradually.
The price is 17% off the calculated value. Close, but without the ideal discount.
It's fine to buy in pieces. Monthly DCA works well here.
For a bigger safety margin, wait for $58.61 or less.
At what price would buying make sense?
Entry zones
🟢 Undervalued
≤$58.61
-20% off Value
🟡 Discounted
≤$69.60
-5% off Value
🟡 Today
$60.95
+20% Valor
Discounted
The price is close to value. There's no big discount, but it's reasonable to invest in pieces.
“The market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient.”
— Warren Buffett
Model updated · July 2026
The business
Skyworks fabrica el oído que conecta cada iPhone a la señal.
Skyworks hace los chips de radiofrecuencia que permiten a un teléfono hablar con la red: amplificadores, filtros y módulos de antena. Cobra por componente vendido a los fabricantes de móviles. Un solo cliente, Apple, pesa más de la mitad de sus ventas.
Su ventaja es la ingeniería de filtros y el diseño integrado dentro del teléfono, difícil de copiar rápido. Pero es un proveedor, no el dueño de la plataforma: Apple puede rediseñar, presionar precio o traer el chip a casa. Margen bruto del 41%, correcto para el sector, no de fortaleza.
Revenue history
From $5.1B to $4.1B in 4 years. Sales are shrinking — the engine is losing steam.
Where each $100 of sales goes
Revenue $4.1B · FY2025
Of every $100 in sales, $88 goes to costs and operations; $12 is left as net profit (12% margin).
Catalysts and risks
Más contenido de radiofrecuencia por teléfono con 5G y WiFi 7 (más chips por equipo).
Diversificación hacia autos, IoT (aparatos conectados) e infraestructura para reducir dependencia de Apple.
Recuperación cíclica en la demanda de smartphones tras varios años flojos.
Concentración en Apple (más del 50% de ventas); si diseña su propia radiofrecuencia, duele mucho.
Ingresos cayendo: de $5.5B a $4.1B en cuatro años.
Competencia dura de Qorvo, Broadcom y Qualcomm que aprieta precios.
Charlie's note
“Ocho veces flujo de caja para un proveedor sin foso, ventas cayendo 5% al año y un solo cliente mandando. El precio no está regalando nada: es exactamente lo que un negocio así se merece.”
Analysis · July 2026
So when would be a good price for Skyworks Solutions?
Today it trades below what we calculate. If you want us to tell you when that changes —or when the value itself moves because the company reported— we will email you.
🔔 Email meFree · no card
Charlie informs, it doesn't advise. No information should be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell.