TGT
Target
Dividend / Cash flow
★ Quality 31/100Price today
$164.44
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See what it is worthcharlieapp.co
What this business is made of
The business
Target: the red store where you buy everything, but fight for every penny against Walmart and Amazon.
Target is a chain of nearly 2,000 stores in the U.S. that sells everything: clothing, home goods, electronics and food. It makes money on the margin between what it buys wholesale and what it charges you at the register, plus its own private-label brands. It brought in $104.8B with a 28% gross margin.
The moat is thin. It has beloved private-label brands and well-located stores, but nothing stops a customer from crossing the street to Walmart or opening Amazon. It sells the same thing as everyone else, and in retail that means competing on price.
Revenue history
From $106.0B to $104.8B in 4 years. Sales aren't taking off — the engine is stuck.
Where each $100 of sales goes
Revenue $104.8B · FY2026
Of every $100 in sales, $96 goes to costs and operations; $4 is left as net profit (4% margin).
Catalysts and risks
New CEO Fiddelke has led a turnaround plan since 2025.
56 straight years raising the dividend: proven discipline.
Debt dropping from $16B to $14.3B.
Flat revenue for four years: zero growth.
Walmart and Amazon squeeze on price and delivery.
The turnaround plan is a promise; it hasn't shown up in the numbers yet.
Charlie's note
“Paying more than 9 times cash flow for a business that's gone four years without growing and with a 28% margin is faith, not arithmetic. The new CEO's turn may come, but I charge admission for results, not speeches.”
Analysis · July 2026
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